Diplomatic talks spark ETH recovery
Ethereum’s (ETH) price experienced a significant decline to $2,150 on Feb. 3, the lowest it has been since September 2024. This drop was a result of new U.S. tariffs that came into effect on Feb. 1, causing uncertainty in global markets, including the crypto market.
However, diplomatic efforts were quickly initiated to address the situation. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that he had spoken with Donald Trump and secured a temporary 30-day pause on the tariffs while both countries worked on a broader border security agreement. Mexico also decided to put their tariffs on hold for a month during ongoing discussions on border security.
These developments improved market sentiment, leading to a rebound in Ethereum’s price to $2,700 as of Feb. 4. At one point, ETH briefly reached $2,900 after Trump halted tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Eric Trump, son of Donald Trump, also expressed his positive view on ETH during this time.
In addition, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a DeFi project associated with the Trump family, moved a significant amount of funds to Coinbase Prime for treasury management. This move was followed by the conversion of staked Ether to ETH and the purchase of more ETH using USDC.
Furthermore, Fidelity made a notable move by purchasing $49.75 million worth of Ethereum on Feb. 4. Despite these positive developments, ETH is still down 15% over the past week and significantly below its all-time high.
Ethereum ecosystem updates
Ethereum has been implementing important changes to enhance scalability and transaction efficiency within its ecosystem. One of the recent updates involved increasing Ethereum’s gas limit, the first adjustment in the post-Merge era. The increase in gas limit from 30 million to over 31 million units improves the network’s overall throughput and reduces congestion. It allows for more transactions and operations to be processed in a single block, benefiting decentralized applications, NFT platforms, and on-chain services.
However, while this increase in gas limit helps with transaction capacity, it doesn’t address Ethereum’s core limitations in terms of cost and speed. Ethereum handles a much lower number of daily transactions compared to Solana, for example, making long-term scalability a challenge for Ethereum.
To address these concerns and enhance network scalability, Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to go live in early 2025, will focus on layer-2 solutions. This includes increasing the blob target, which will improve the throughput of layer-2 networks and make them faster and cheaper.
Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum, Optimism, and zkSync have already played a crucial role in reducing congestion and gas fees for Ethereum users. However, other blockchain ecosystems like Solana and Avalanche have built-in scalability and can handle large transaction volumes without requiring external scaling solutions.
Ethereum’s market position and competitive challenges have also been under scrutiny. The ETH/BTC ratio has dropped significantly, reflecting a shift in investor preference towards Bitcoin. Ethereum’s ability to maintain its market dominance and sustain long-term demand will depend on its ability to deliver tangible benefits to users and developers.
Ethereum price prediction: will the downtrend reverse?
The recent market reset, which cleared out excessive leveraged positions in Ethereum, has left the cryptocurrency in a healthier position. However, its future price movement will depend on various factors, including scalability upgrades, adoption, competition, and economic conditions.
Different price prediction models forecast different outcomes for Ethereum in the coming years. DigitalCoinPrice predicts an average price of $5,510 in 2025, while Changelly is more bullish, predicting an average of $6,124. In 2027, if Ethereum continues leading the smart contract space and scaling solutions mature, its price could rise further. DigitalCoinPrice estimates an average price of $9,580 in 2027, while Changelly predicts an average of $12,316. Long-term forecasts see Ethereum reaching even higher levels. DigitalCoinPrice estimates an average price of $14,829 in 2030, while Changelly predicts an average of $40,055.
However, it is important to consider the risks involved and combine technical forecasts with real-world adoption trends when making long-term investment decisions.
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